N. Korea holds military parade for anniversary

Dozens of military vehicles and goose-stepping soldiers paraded through the streets of the North Korean capital to mark the 70th anniversary of the country's founding. CNN's Will Ripley reports.

Posted: Sep 10, 2018 8:58 AM
Updated: Sep 10, 2018 9:00 AM

Every week, I offer a glimpse of the kind of intelligence assessments that are likely to come across the desk of the President of the United States. Modeled on the President's Daily Briefing, or PDB, which the director of national intelligence prepares for the President almost daily, my Presidential Weekly Briefing focuses on the topics and issues the President needs to know to make informed decisions.

Here's this week's briefing:

Brazil: Stabbing democracy

Democracy in Brazil is literally under assault. Known to many fellow Brazilians as the "Brazilian Trump," Representative Jair Bolsonaro, one of the frontrunners in October's presidential election, was stabbed on Thursday while on the campaign trail. This kind of violence could continue ahead of the presidential election in late October, portending a dangerous trend in South America's largest country.

Unfortunately, Brazil is no stranger to political violence. Earlier this year, a councilwoman in Rio De Janeiro was murdered, and, in May, campaign buses hired by former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva were shot at in southern Brazil.

While politicians have denounced the Bolsonaro stabbing and police have charged a suspect, the incident could add more fuel to an already fiery situation.

Sympathy generated by it, and the likely withdrawal of Lula, who though leading in the polls, is expected to give up his own campaign bid, means that Bolsonaro will probably advance to a run-off and victory. Lula was convicted and sentenced for corruption and money laundering -- and the Brazilian Supreme Court denied his appeal to continue his campaign from behind bars. A Bolsonaro win would be the latest victory for a far-right candidate in a major democracy.

Bolsonaro is a polarizing figure, known for his racist, homophobic and sexist remarks, including saying a female lawmaker was too ugly to be raped. He's facing charges for speech inciting hatred and rape. Though he denies the charges, and the cases have not yet proceeded to court, it has many voters uneasy.

That said, for other voters, his campaign rhetoric is resonating. He has centered it around draining the Brazilian corruption-laden swamp, which sits well with many Brazilians who have seen massive anti-corruption operations lead to prison sentences for senior public and private sector officials, massive layoffs, strikes and billions of dollars in fines.

Since the country's supreme court decided that Lula, currently serving a 12-year sentence, cannot continue his campaign, he's expected to endorse Fernando Haddad, his running mate, to become the Workers Party (PT) candidate. (Ironically, Haddad was charged with corruption last week, charges that he denies.)

Haddad would have a tough time clawing at Bolsonaro's lead, particularly after the stabbing. So, you should probably count on another far-right, divisive leader coming into power. While his win might have some benefits -- he seems amenable to free market economics -- his expressed admiration for the military dictatorship that ruled Brazil could come at a cost for many Brazilians.

North Korea: If you build it, they will come

There was no rain on Kim Jong Un's military parade on Sunday, and you should expect Kim to keep fine-tuning his words and actions to lower tensions with you -- while he keeps proliferating nuclear bomb materials. Following the latest parade, attended by the number three ranking official in the Chinese Communist Party, he probably thinks that building an arsenal of weapons of mass destruction worked out in his favor. Despite amassing illegal warheads and chemical and biological weapons, he has foreign visitors in North Korea (President Moon Jae-in is expected to visit soon) and media coverage is focused on his decision not to display ballistic missiles.

But just because he didn't display them and isn't testing them doesn't mean they do not exist. We assess that Kim is carefully calibrating his messages to you, including his reported statements, relayed through the South Korean national security adviser, that he has faith in you and doesn't talk negatively about you.

The specificity of Kim's comments is likely not coincidental. He may be aware of the attention the White House is paying to Bob Woodward's book "Fear: Trump in the White House" and the negative comments about you in it. He is also probably aware of the anonymous New York Times op-ed by a senior administration official, who also writes negatively about you. He may be trying to purposefully contrast himself with this negativity by relaying that he doesn't sink to such lows.

He is counting on you to have faith in him and in your discussion at the Singapore summit, despite his failure to denuclearize and despite his demands for more concessions. In a recent tweet, you thanked Kim for his unwavering faith, which is probably adding to his perception that you'll maintain faith in him.

We assess that the South Korean delegation may not be an unbiased messenger in this case, and we should analyze the veracity of their message and Kim's sincerity. Remember that it was the South Koreans who passed along Kim's original invitation to meet with you. They may have over-promised on what he was prepared to do without concessions.

Moon is deeply invested in the negotiations between you and Kim and has long favored engagement over military action.

The "elegant" delivery of Kim's personal letter to you is also probably part of his strategy. The more exchanges between you and Kim, the less likely he thinks you are to abandon talks and pivot to another means of getting him to denuclearize.

For Kim, the letters are a way to buy time. He's using this time to ingratiate himself on the global stage and build his own power (militarily and economically), while we suspended a major joint military exercise with South Korea and our maximum pressure campaign dissipates.

Syria: Battle update

We are providing you with an update on an ongoing situation. The assault on Idlib as Syrian and Russian aircraft pound the province, and we assess that it will continue, unabated, until President Bashar al-Assad and his backers raze and "liquidate" this last rebel stronghold. Because of your history of punishing chemical weapons attacks but not other regime atrocities, and the recent Pentagon statement that we will only use force "to defend US, coalition or partner forces, as we have clearly demonstrated in past instances," Vladimir Putin probably doesn't think you'll do anything to stop the assault on Syrians in Idlib.

He expects you to watch the assault, issue some more warnings, and wait for it to be over. If chemical weapons (CW) are used, Assad and Putin probably expect punishment, but we don't think that will deter them from more CW use.

Assad and Putin know that despite US Ambassador Nikki Haley's remarks at the UN and US military exercises in Syria, there have been no additional measures to actually stop the ongoing violence. Russia has warned US troops about their impending operations in the US-controlled area of al-Tanf, but deconflicting military moves to avoid a direct confrontation are nothing new. Putin probably isn't itching for a direct military confrontation with you -- he just wants the US to stay out of the way and knows our troops aren't authorized to fight him or the regime.

You should expect the humanitarian disaster to continue, which will have an ongoing strain not only on the Syrian people but on Turkey, Lebanon and other countries hosting refugees. Once Idlib is taken, Assad and Putin will feel more empowered to do what they want throughout the country, which will be solidly under their control.

Oregon Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 207333

Reported Deaths: 2759
CountyCasesDeaths
Multnomah40422614
Washington26826249
Marion23473324
Clackamas18967235
Lane13934165
Jackson11566146
Deschutes1004182
Umatilla861687
Linn563681
Yamhill478979
Klamath477878
Polk401356
Douglas390683
Josephine362372
Malheur362163
Benton327322
Jefferson237539
Coos217537
Columbia192629
Union150224
Wasco145530
Lincoln143721
Crook129423
Hood River121833
Morrow115716
Clatsop10609
Baker103015
Curry72511
Tillamook6604
Grant5527
Lake4688
Harney4359
Wallowa1945
Gilliam811
Sherman701
Wheeler351
Unassigned00

California Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 3811723

Reported Deaths: 63424
CountyCasesDeaths
Los Angeles124816124461
Riverside3017994627
San Bernardino2993724873
San Diego2819363777
Orange2731285114
Santa Clara1201942193
Kern1108471405
Sacramento1079131737
Fresno1029961724
Alameda898191280
Ventura817271032
San Joaquin748081440
Contra Costa70818813
Stanislaus635581070
Tulare49808850
Monterey43842432
San Mateo42725581
San Francisco37287556
Santa Barbara34624455
Solano33797267
Merced32317481
Sonoma30974317
Imperial28880741
Placer23633300
Kings23209247
San Luis Obispo21448261
Madera16652245
Santa Cruz16246209
Marin14207230
Yolo14157212
Butte12662198
Shasta12616235
El Dorado10415117
Napa1002980
Sutter9672113
Yuba651951
San Benito611163
Lassen579925
Tehama573963
Nevada493275
Humboldt451449
Mendocino435150
Tuolumne421971
Amador374347
Lake356445
Glenn243527
Siskiyou239837
Colusa228818
Calaveras220956
Del Norte14658
Inyo143438
Mono12984
Plumas7376
Modoc5635
Mariposa4657
Trinity4246
Sierra1170
Alpine890
Unassigned340
Medford
Clear
81° wxIcon
Hi: 94° Lo: 60°
Feels Like: 80°
Brookings
Partly Cloudy
55° wxIcon
Hi: 77° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 55°
Crater Lake
Partly Cloudy
81° wxIcon
Hi: 72° Lo: 46°
Feels Like: 80°
Grants Pass
Partly Cloudy
81° wxIcon
Hi: 96° Lo: 60°
Feels Like: 80°
Klamath Falls
Clear
60° wxIcon
Hi: 84° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 60°
Dangerous heat wave through the weekend
KDRV Radar
KDRV Fire Danger
KDRV Weather Cam

Community Events