An upper-low continues to spin disturbances through the viewing area bringing more thunderstorms today through the weekend. The next disturbance will bring thunderstorms as early as early this afternoon in northern California then move into southwest Oregon later in the afternoon. Thunderstorm activity will become more scattered into this evening with thunderstorms ending by or shortly after midnight. Activity will again return tomorrow, more scattered showers and thunderstorms expected across the region which continue on Saturday. Sunday activity will weaken with only isolated thunderstorms expected, mainly along and east of the Cascades.
Storm will be slow-moving, which means heavy rain can lead to flash flooding…especially in already burned areas. Heavy rain isn’t the only threat, however, hail, gusty winds up to 40 to 50 mph and abundant lightning are possible. Yesterday we had reports of one inch hail outside of Ruch and half inch hail at Howard Prairie and eight miles south Applegate. While most storms will not be severe, similar to yesterday, we could see a few reach severe standards. That means hail of one inch size or larger and sustained winds of 40mph and gusts to 58mph.
Air quality should improve with rain and instability clearing out some of the smoke, but until the fires are out smoke will be in the forecast. Check air quality levels before heading out, you can find the current numbers under ‘Weather Links.’
Thanks for logging on and stay safe out there!