The trough of low pressure that has been sitting over us for quite some time will begin to move east of us by tomorrow. This, along with shifting winds will stop the disturbances that have been bringing the stormy weather to the region. Winds will begin shifting to a north/northeasterly flow, which limits the amount of moisture that enters the region, stopping all chances for shower activity. One last disturbance is expected to enter the region on Thursday afternoon, however; with the lack of moisture, activity will struggle to develop. As we move through tonight, models should come to better agreement on how much development we could see Thursday. All I expect is some virga from low level cumulus. Winds will continue to be strong at the coast over the next couple of days. Sustained winds will be in the 10-25 mph range with locally strong gusts up to 40 mph.
Friday through Saturday will be a period for increasing temperatures. High pressure will continue to build in and will have warmer air accompanying it. Saturday should have the valleys seeing the lower 90 degree mark. The Klamath Basin will be in the lower 80s and the coast will see the upper fringe of the 70s. Of course, none of this holds a candle to the mid to upper 90s that parts of Northern California will see.
Starting Sunday, we could get a few disturbances move into the region allowing for clouds to increase in some regions. A very minimal chance of showers and thunderstorms could be seen in the evening hours on Sunday. This activity will once again be confined to Northern California, the Klamath Basin, and the Cascades. Models, this time of the year, have a hard time with forecasting and seem to put showers in when conditions may not be favorable. Therefore I am only going with a small chance for Sunday evening. Models will shed better light, the closer we get to that day. Other areas though will remain dry throughout the extended period.
Thanks for logging on and have a good one!
Meteorologist Seth Phillips
This day in Weather History:
3 June 1959 → Thunderstorms in northwest Kansas produced up to 18 inches of hail in Selden. Crops were completely destroyed, and total damage from the storm was about half a million dollars. Hail fell for 85 minutes, while the temperature dropped from near 80 degrees prior to the storm to 38 degrees at the height of the storm. (courtesy of: NOAA/NWS)