Chances for Showers Diminishing

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Models are beginning to trend towards a dryer weekend coming up. At first, showers were expected in all regions. Now, models are indicating that activity will be very light and isolated and will be confined to the mountains, basin, and Siskiyou County. The valleys and the coast will just get some light cloud coverage through this period.

As the weak trough of low pressure that sits over us breaks down, temperatures will begin to warm up. Winds are also going to remain strong through the afternoons. Friday afternoon at the coast, sustained winds will be in the 25 mph range with gusts up to 40 mph. There is a very small amount of moisture with the high pressure ridge that will move in behind it. Therefore, partly cloudy skies are going to be the story for this weekend and the beginning of next week. Any rain that falls will do so into a dry air mass, so most of it will evaporate before reaching the ground. Dry lightning could be a concern coming up in the short term. There will be a slight amount of instability, mainly east of the Cascades Friday-Sunday. More instability will be available at the beginning of the week, and with the combination of the storms rolling in, a better chance for thunderstorms will be available then. Again, the rain and thunderstorms will be in the Siskiyous, Cascades and basin areas. Just clouds through mid week for the coast and the valleys.

Thanks for logging on and enjoy your day.

Meteorologist Seth Phillips

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