After a beautiful, but dry weekend, an active weather pattern will return to the area. The high pressure ridge that has been sitting over us the last few days is starting to break down. This will allow the upper level jet stream to resume a more west-to-east flow pattern. This means that storms out in the Pacific will stay intact as they move towards the coast. A warm front will pass through the area early Monday morning. This will cause temperatures to get above seasonal norm. Usually this time of the year we see highs around the mid 50′s, but tomorrow some areas will see temperatures well into the 60′s. Upper elevations will remain in the 30′s to 40′s. With the warm front that is passing, some isolated showers will enter the areas along the coast and well to the north. I suspect areas near Crater Lake and Canyonville may get some stray showers. Isolated showers are possible near the coast as well, especially near Bandon and Gold Beach. If any rain falls it will be light in nature. All other areas will see mostly cloudy skies in the morning on Monday and decreasing clouds in the afternoon. Tuesday will be mostly dry for all areas as partly cloudy skies return to the area.
The next system that comes in will be a little stronger. Starting overnight Tuesday, clouds will return ahead of a cold front and the rain will move in early Wednesday morning. Northern California and the coast will see it first, then rain will filter into the valleys and basin. Another cold front is expected right after and will continue rain into Thursday morning. Thursday seems to be fairly dry in most areas.
The next system will move in Thursday night into Friday. The difference with this storm is that models have it pushing further to our south. Southern and Northern California will get the brunt of this precipitation. With this disturbance, winds will pick up Thursday night into Friday morning. The heaviest winds will be felt in the Rogue and Shasta Valleys where down-slope flow will be enhanced. Cooler air is expected to roll in Friday after the cold front, so snow levels should bottom out on Friday around the 4,500′ to 5000′ range. Upper elevations will see snow in the morning hours and rain in the afternoon as temperatures rebound. Other areas will just see rain. Hopefully, we can make up some of our deficit with the rain that will come in at the end of the week.
Thanks for logging on and have a great night.
Meteorologist Seth Phillips