Summer has been hanging on by a nail. Every time we get a cold front that brings a relief, another dominant ridge of high pressure brings in temperatures well above average. The good news, is that on the first day of fall, we will be seeing “fall-like” temperatures. A series of strong cold fronts will start bringing temperatures down as we progress through the week. By Thursday, we will bottom out seeing the 70′s in the west side valleys and Northern California, the 60′s in the Basin, and the 50′s in the high country. The coast will sit in their usual middle 60′s.
Before we get there, the warmest temperatures will be here on Saturday. So warm, in fact, that we will be nearing records. The day record for September 20th in Medford is 98 degrees, and we will be very close. I wouldn’t be surprised if some areas around the region see their warmest September 20th in a while.
A very weak round of thunderstorms are expected Sunday afternoon as a low pressure system moves through Nevada. These storms will be fast-moving and will drop only trace amounts of rain. It should be said that we could see a few dry lightning strikes. Any storms that develop will be in Modoc County and the Eastern Klamath Basin.
With the next system coming in mid-week, more rain is expected. Timing will be the key. Being so far out, the exact timing is likely to change. We’ll have a much better handle on the time at the beginning of the week. Early rainfall estimate say up to 1″ at the coast. 1/2″ in the mountains, Basin, and Northern California, and 1/4″ in the Rogue and Illinois Valleys. Of course, this is just an estimate. Many things can change between now and then. What we do know, is that we will get another system, and more rain with it.
Thanks for logging on and stay cool out there.
Meteorologist Seth Phillips
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College Football Forecast
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Oregon State Beavers
Reser Stadium: 7:30 p.m. / Temperature at kickoff: 78 degrees / Winds: NW ~ 5 mph
Forecast: High pressure over Oregon creating clearing conditions. Expect it to be hot for tailgating, but comfortable temperatures throughout the game. Go Beavers!